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Another Poll Book Discrepancy Discovered in Virginia, 156k Votes Impacted

by Steven Ahle
November 17, 2022
in Opinion, Politics
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Another Poll Book Discrepancy Discovered in Virginia, 156k Votes Impacted
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Another state is now reporting that its poll book is adding voters. What makes this different is that the times given for these voters are impossible. LeadStories has fact-checked the claim about the poll books adding voters at the end of the day. But, it was really all spin since the number of people who checked in is much less than the number on the poll books. If there were not added voters to the poll books, those numbers would match up.

The Texas Secretary of State has listed on their website regarding certifications, which should be updated with each new certification and for every election. ES&S responded this morning to a request for documents. They simply said the certification date of May 31, 2022.  But, The Gateway Pundit asked to see the actual certifications.

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LeadStories did not address witness testimony that the poll books were adding voters at the end of the night because they could not do that without admitting that the sign-in sheets did not match the numbers registered on the poll books. Now, there is data that evidences more issues with poll books, this time in Virginia.  The EPEC and digitalpollwatchers.org now show that 23% of the4 voters in that precinct were4 checked in at impossible times. Even if you figure from 2 hours before the polls opened till 2 hours after the polls closed, it does little to change the numbers.

According to digitalpollwatchers.org:

In looking over the VA DAL data, one interesting issue that is readily apparent, is that the BALLOT_RECIEPT_DATE field for in-person, on-machine early vote data is logically impossible.

These time-stamps are supposed to be generated by the electronic poll-books when a voter is checked in at an in-person early voting site. The appeal and rationale for utilizing electronic poll-books is exactly because the can automate the recording of check-in and (theoretically) minimize human error. The operating hours of VA in-person early voting sites are limited to 7am – 7pm. I’m not aware of any in-person early voting center that had extended hours past those. Therefore, logically, we would expect that the electronic poll book generated time stamps for check-ins for in-person on-machine early votes would fall within the 7am – 7pm bounds.

There were 520,549 records that fall within the expected time bounds, and 156,576 that fall outside of the bounds. From a purely systems perspective, that means that the ability of our electronic poll books (or the backend database they are tied to) to accurately record the check-in time of Early In-Person On-Machine voters has an error rate of 156576 / (156576+520549) = 23.12%

Even more shocking is the error rate they found in 2020. If we run the same analysis using the 7am – 7pm bounds on the 2021 and 2020 data we get 29.64% and 71.17% error rates, respectively.

From The Gateway Pundit

In the name of full transparency, the EPEC has made the data available for anyone to download here.  The article does go on to explain a possible reason for the discrepancy, however, the explanation would warrant further questions about the reliability of electronic pollbooks in the first place:

The inclusion of the latter class of error computation is in order to account for the remote chance that a locality is legitimately using paper poll books or otherwise not recording the time of the voter check in, but only recording the date information (which would be consistent with all timestamps at midnight). VA requires the use of electronic poll books, but there are still some that use manual entry paper poll-books as backup. So even IF that was the explanation for why so many entries were uniformly timestamped to midnight … (A) why did they have to go to their paper poll book backups in the first place? and (B) we still have a residual error of 0.05% across the state that needs to be explained even after removing uniform midnight timestamps from consideration. That might not seem a terribly huge error rate at first blush, but when you consider that most electronic data recording systems (at least that I am aware of) have error rate requirement thresholds for acceptance testing set to the order of 1/1,000,000 … thats still unacceptable. I have been unable to find a documented requirement for error rate threshold for the electronic poll book systems used in VA, as per the VA department of elections.

 

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Tags: 156kadditionpoll booksvoters
Steven Ahle

Steven Ahle

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