CNN political statistics analyst Harry Enten broke down the figures behind a shocking new poll that finds former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in the majority of the country’s battleground and swing states.
During a broadcast on Monday, Enten analyzed polling data from The New York Times, Siena College, and the Philadelphia Inquirer, which showed Trump ahead in five of six swing states. More interestingly, Trump’s growing support comes from non-traditional voter blocs and ethnicities.
CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR NEWSLETTERNotably, Trump has a 9% advantage over Biden in Georgia, a state that played a critical role in the disputed 2020 presidential election and saw two significant Democratic Senate gains that year.
Additionally, Trump presently has a 6% edge among likely voters in Arizona, a state he nearly lost four years ago. Trump also leads Biden by a stunning 13 points in Nevada.
“These numbers are an absolute disaster… 13 in Nevada? My goodness!” exclaimed Enten. “No Democrat has lost that state since John Kerry lost it back in 2004. Results for Biden were no much better among the Great Lakes states where Trump leads Biden by 3% in Pennsylvania, 1% in Wisconsin, and remains just 1% behind in Michigan.” However, “this they can work with,” he said before returning to the Sun Belt findings. “This the Donald Trump campaign absolutely loves, and it looks like a lot of other polling.”
Over the last four years, Trump’s support has increased from 13% to 19% in Sun Belt states, where the population is more varied and includes a greater number of working-class people, notably Hispanic voters. In contrast, his support among white voters has dropped significantly, from 84% to 78%.
VISIT OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL“Those Sun Belt battleground states are more diverse than the Great Lake battleground states,” said the analyst. Looking at the Electoral College numbers, Trump has the lead, “but he’s not over the 270 mark just yet,” Enten added.
WATCH:
"Absolute Disaster" – CNN analyst Harry Enten sounds the alarm for the Biden campaign as Trump pulls farther ahead in battleground states. pic.twitter.com/5176s5Es6l
— USA Features Media (@UsaFeatures) May 13, 2024
Republicans are more optimistic about Trump’s return to the White House than Democrats are about Biden serving another four years in government.
According to a recent Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll, 54% of Republicans polled indicated they would be “excited” about a second term for President Trump.
Only four out of ten Democrats supported Biden’s rematch with his predecessor in the November presidential election.
According to the study, seven out of ten Democrats said they would be “angry” or “fearful” if Trump were elected president. If Biden defeated Trump for the second time in a row, 56% of Republicans would say the same thing.
Both enthusiasm for and aversion for the two front-runners in a contest that polls show will be tight will most likely serve as major catalysts for igniting the Republican and Democratic bases.
With less than seven months until Election Day on November 5, Trump has an early lead in public opinion polls, which he holds in the majority of national surveys as well as numerous polls in five of the six key battleground states where Biden defeated Trump by a narrow margin to win the 2020 presidential election.
For months, national polls have revealed that the vast majority of Americans’ top concern heading into the 2024 elections is the status of the economy, or, more particularly, their own personal finances, despite 25-30 percent price rises for most consumer products since Biden became president.
Another recent survey reveals that nothing has changed.
According to a recent Financial Times-Michigan Ross poll, former President Donald Trump has an 8-point lead over Biden in terms of economic trust (43–35 percent).
“In another worrying sign for the White House, the monthly FT-Michigan Ross survey has consistently found voters trust Trump more than Biden when it comes to handling the economy,” according to the poll analysis, noting that Trump had gained 2 points since the last survey.
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