When Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced his independent run for the 2024 presidential election, analysts debated its impact on Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Polls showed Kennedy drawing significant support, particularly among younger voters and independents. A Siena College/New York Times poll indicated Kennedy could win 24% of votes in a three-way race in six battleground states.
Kennedy’s appeal is notable among voters under the age of 45. He leads in this demographic, with particularly strong support from independents, where 39% back him compared to Biden’s 28% and Trump’s 25%.
Quinnipiac University’s poll mirrored these findings, highlighting Kennedy’s appeal to minority and younger voters. Kennedy proposed policies like 3% mortgages backed by tax-free bonds, appealing to younger generations disillusioned with current economic prospects.
Skeptics like former New York senator David Carlucci doubt Kennedy’s momentum, attributing his support to anti-vaxxer Trump voters and predicting a decline in popularity due to Kennedy’s controversial stances.
Republican strategist Brian Seitchik suggests Kennedy’s campaign might hurt Trump more, as Kennedy’s voter profile leans Republican. However, a Harvard CAPS/Harris poll showed Kennedy with a high favorability rating across the board.
The election is a year away. There is plenty of time for Democrats, Republicans, and Independents to learn that RFK Jr. is a dyed-in-the-wool liberal Democrat who will take more votes from Biden than Trump. I can’t even think of a Trump voter who would abandon the America First movement for an environmental lawyer. RFK Jr. also called for reparations, and he supports LGBTQ rights, which aren’t really equal rights as much as they are “special” rights. The biggest draw he would have would come from Democrat voters who simply cannot vote for Biden, the rotting bag of oatmeal that sleeps in the White House.
VISIT OUR YOUTUBE CHANNELAnd then there’s this. The powers that be inside the Democratic Party are working out ways to get Biden to leave the race. One way or another, I don’t believe Joe Biden will be the nominee for the 2024 race. And just like what happened in New Jersey with corrupt Senator Bob Toricelli, who was losing to his Republican opponent by a very large margin, the Democrats removed Torricelli at the last minute—something that broke New Jersey law—and put in the old war horse, Frank Lautenberg. As soon as that happened, the majority of support left the Republican candidate, and Lautenberg won the election. My prediction is the Democrats will nominate Governor Gavin Newsom, the man who destroyed California, and every Democrat who is now toying with the idea of voting for RFK Jr. will switch over to Gruesome Newsom in a heartbeat. You heard it here first.
Despite skepticism from both parties, Kennedy’s independent run, initially planned as a Democratic candidacy, reflects a broader discontent with traditional party politics. His funding largely comes from Republican-leaning donors, and he has accused the Democratic National Committee of favoring Biden.
Kennedy’s campaign reflects a shift in voter sentiment, seeking an alternative to the traditional two-party system, resonating with those tired of partisan politics. In reality, it hasn’t harmed Trump one bit, but it is worrying the Democrats.
