‘You’re Putting Your F*cking Finger On The Scale’: Nate Silver Unloads On ‘Pollsters’ For ‘Cheating’

Nate Silver, the4 head of Five Thirty Eigh went on a rant against pollsters he claims are rigging their polls. This should come as no surprise since most of them want Harris to win and they are doing their part to boost her campaign. As evidence, he points to the fact that most of of them have similar results,which Silver saysis an impossibility. He says that if the polls were honest there would be different results. Not necessarily a large difference, but a difference just the same.

I wonder how the polls could possibly this close. Harris is underperforming with men, Blacks, Latinos, young people and union members. She is behind in every category. Does that make sense to you?  I have to wonder if they are keeping the polls close so that when Democrats manufacture votes after the election it will not seem suspicious to the great unwashed. Silver did name one poll he called courageous and more accurate and believe it or not it is the New York Times that shows Harris stalling out and Trump moving forward with momentum.

WATCH:

Silver said:

“I don’t think we’re going to learn very much in this last week of the polling. In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less. Every time a pollster, ‘Oh, every state is just a plus one. Every single state’s a tie.’ No, you’re fucking herding. You’re cheating. You’re cheating. Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying. You’re putting your fucking finger on the scale. I will not name names, but some pollsters are really bad about this. Emerson College. Whoops, was that recorded? Oops, sorry.”

“Insider advantage — all these GOP-leaning [firms], it’s always, ‘Oh, we’re not going out too far on a limb.’ It’s just Trump plus one in Pennsylvania every fucking single time. No, that’s not how fucking polling works. That’s not how polling is supposed to work. So you get herding … Basically the pollsters are 50/50 in a forecast because not all base rates are 50/50, right? The pollsters are just fucking punting, except The New York Times that actually has balls, right? The pollsters are just fucking punting on this election for the most part.”

From The Daily Caller

Silver noted that there are “other high-quality polls” besides the NYT that release surprising data occasionally, adding pollsters have “no value” if they “never” release surprising data.

Several pollsters recently told the Daily Caller News Foundation they are doubtful that 2024’s surveys will be accurate. While they said they are working to improve their techniques of contacting hard-to-reach Trump supporters, they noted that predicting the makeup of the electorate remains challenging, as polling methods often struggle to accurately reach groups like young men and Americans without a college degree.

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten on Tuesday asserted it “would be historically unprecedented” for Trump to “outperform his polls” for a third consecutive presidential election.

“Now maybe you want to make the argument that Donald Trump himself is historically unprecedented. But what normally happens is the pollsters catch on. ‘Hey, we‘re underestimating, we’re not taking into account some part of the electorate,’” he said. “They make adjustments and I think that helps to explain why we have never seen that the same party has been underestimated three times in a row in presidential elections at least over the last 52 years.”

Silver revealed in a recent New York Times opinion piece that his “gut” tells him Trump will be victorious in November, but wrote he doesn’t “think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut.”